Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.044899 0.048961 0.053089 0.057588 0.062349 0.067229 0.072602
2024-12-22 0.039561 0.045610 0.051987 0.059184 0.067052 0.075366 0.084789
2024-12-29 0.034934 0.042380 0.050495 0.059934 0.070546 0.082046 0.095391
2025-01-05 0.031206 0.039686 0.049213 0.060595 0.073706 0.088225 0.105404
2025-01-12 0.027495 0.036613 0.047161 0.060083 0.075307 0.092495 0.113192
2025-01-19 0.025145 0.034897 0.046475 0.060972 0.078380 0.098357 0.122761
2025-01-26 0.022468 0.032529 0.044789 0.060479 0.079670 0.102041 0.129743
2025-02-02 0.020527 0.030907 0.043864 0.060770 0.081790 0.106631 0.137755
2025-02-09 0.019208 0.029967 0.043689 0.061902 0.084873 0.112338 0.147095
2025-02-16 0.018618 0.029931 0.044623 0.064401 0.089636 0.120093 0.158947
2025-02-23 0.016255 0.027299 0.042015 0.062227 0.088437 0.120485 0.161817
2025-03-02 0.014701 0.025676 0.040639 0.061550 0.089045 0.123039 0.167286
2025-03-09 0.013339 0.024259 0.039500 0.061174 0.090068 0.126179 0.173605
2025-03-16 0.012929 0.024224 0.040257 0.063346 0.094428 0.133570 0.185298
2025-03-23 0.012200 0.023648 0.040213 0.064404 0.097322 0.139124 0.194742
2025-03-30 0.011467 0.023007 0.040033 0.065244 0.099914 0.144300 0.203747
2025-04-06 0.010431 0.021802 0.038962 0.064781 0.100719 0.147154 0.209806
2025-04-13 0.009867 0.021322 0.038929 0.065759 0.103461 0.152525 0.219106
2025-04-20 0.008976 0.020222 0.037901 0.065260 0.104147 0.155190 0.224928
2025-04-27 0.008355 0.019535 0.037461 0.065578 0.105935 0.159297 0.232624
2025-05-04 0.007984 0.019258 0.037635 0.066779 0.108945 0.165029 0.242456
2025-05-11 0.007950 0.019586 0.038769 0.069416 0.113994 0.173517 0.255944
2025-05-18 0.006892 0.017934 0.036656 0.067126 0.112035 0.172581 0.257054